Press releases overview
  • Romania: The National Bank of Romania has, surprisingly, signaled a near end to its rate hiking cycle in spite of inflation above target.
  • Serbia: With economic growth accelerating and inflation contained, the National Bank of Serbia has no need to change its monetary policy stance.

Macroeconomics a decade after the Great Recession

  • What has changed during the last ten years
  • Modern macroeconomics under fire
  • Extensions of the baseline New Keynesian macro model

Eurozone business cycle monitoring

  • Uncertainty increased recently amid conflicting signals
  • Survey data softened further in July, while financing conditions remain favorable
  • On Tuesday, the Q2 GDP release will add an important information

International trade in Central and Eastern European EU member states and non-EU accession countries

  • Trade openness is high whereby the EU is the most important trading partner
  • The structure of trade differs substantially
  • Negative EU trade balances are substantial except for the CE-4

Is the Euro Area hitting capacity constraints?

  • Euro Area GDP growth slowdown is likely to extend into the second quarter, despite a rebound of industrial production in May
  • Capacity utilization has reached levels well above the long-term average and close to 2007
  • Insufficient demand and labor shortages are the most significant factors limiting production
  • Investment activity in the Euro Area has, not yet, reached pre-crisis levels
  • Labor productivity growth has been remarkably similar between the pre- and post-crisis period, though, at markedly lower employment growth

ECB Forum on Central Banking: Price and wage-setting in advanced economies

  • Presentations and discussions hoover around the “Phillips curve”, the pivotal concept justifying the existence of central banks
  • Draghi stresses that wages are finally rising and the Phillips curve is strengthening
  • The Phillips curve is “alive and well but needs to be found” as measurement errors have likely overshadowed inflation signals
  • Nowadays, Phillips curves contain inflation expectations which should be influenced more directly in breaking the “veil of inattention”
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UNIQA Group Communication
Untere Donaustraße 21 
1029 Wien
Austria
Tel: +43 1 211 75-3414 
Fax: +43 1 211 75-3619 
E-Mail: presse@uniqa.at 


Norbert Heller, Group Media Spokesman

Untere Donaustraße 21
1029 Vienna
Tel: +43 1 211 75-3414 
Mobil: +43 664 112 02 37 
Fax: +43 1 211 75-3619 


Top Releases

CEE monetary policy developments (UNIQA Capital Markets Weekly)
      
  • Romania: The National Bank of Romania has, surprisingly, signaled a near end to its rate hiking cycle in spite of inflation above target.
  • Serbia: With economic growth accelerating and inflation contained, the National Bank of Serbia has no need to change its monetary policy stance.

UNIQA Capital Markets Weekly
      

Macroeconomics a decade after the Great Recession

  • What has changed during the last ten years
  • Modern macroeconomics under fire
  • Extensions of the baseline New Keynesian macro model