Meldungsübersicht

Divergence of growth momentum continues

  • US Federal Reserve Bank kept monetary policy unchanged to get active again in December
  • Euro Area growth slowdown in Q3 might be transitory due to one-of effects of the German car industry
  • Strong growth is set to prolong in CEE, yet gradually approaching more sustainable levels
  1. Österreichs Sparquote: Wird weniger gespart oder sinken nur die Zinsen?
  2. Österreichs Konjunkturdynamik solide mit leichter Abschwächung
  1. ECB affirms its monetary policy outlook, despite of a weakening macroeconomic environment
  2. Buoyant U.S. growth continues

Economic Convergence in Central and Eastern Europe revisited

  • CEE economies are closing the income gap to Western Europe
  • Convergence was strongest in the immediate pre-crisis period and has diminished since then, though, remains active at least within the EU
  • Convergence has been faster within the EU than in non-EU countries and particularly rapid in EU member states of the CEE region
  • Education and FDI are positively associated with GDP per capita growth, as is institutional quality within the EU

Italy’s public debt sustainability 2.0: the effects of a new fiscal outlook

  • Italy has among the highest public debt levels within the EU, only topped by Greece
  • Yet, the ruling coalition plans to raise the fiscal deficit, questioning public debt sustainability
  • The new fiscal outlook leads to a substantial deviation from the previous trajectory of public debt normalization, yet is not as excessive to make public debt unsustainable
  • Public debt to GDP will decrease only very gradually over the medium-term which does not comply with EU regulations and, if not adjusted, may results in an excessive deficit procedure

Quarterly Macroeconomic Outlook: Economic growth slows down but fundamentals remain solid

  • The global economy continues to expand solidly with the business cycle accelerating in the United States and slowing down in the Euro Area as well as some emerging market economies
  • The economic outlook of the Central Eastern European region remains favorable, despite of emerging market turbulences. We project growth at 4.0 % (2018) and 3.5 % (2019) for CEE (ex Russia)
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Top Meldungen

UNIQA Capital Markets Weekly
      

Divergence of growth momentum continues

  • US Federal Reserve Bank kept monetary policy unchanged to get active again in December
  • Euro Area growth slowdown in Q3 might be transitory due to one-of effects of the German car industry
  • Strong growth is set to prolong in CEE, yet gradually approaching more sustainable levels

UNIQA Capital Markets Weekly
      
  1. Österreichs Sparquote: Wird weniger gespart oder sinken nur die Zinsen?
  2. Österreichs Konjunkturdynamik solide mit leichter Abschwächung

UNIQA Capital Markets Weekly
      
  1. ECB affirms its monetary policy outlook, despite of a weakening macroeconomic environment
  2. Buoyant U.S. growth continues