Meldungsübersicht
  • Germany’s growth outlook
  • CEE’s resilience to Euro Area’s growth slowdown
  • Russia’s growth miracle
  • Czech monetary policy normalization loses speed
  • USA: Fed patiently awaits greater clarity
  • Euro Area: No growth rebound occurred in Q4

 

 

The dilemma of the ECB continues

  • Leading survey-based indicators send warning signal for Euro Area business cycle
  • ECB leaves monetary policy stance unchanged. Risk for growth are tilted to the downside
  • Additional long-term refinancing operations (LTRO, TLTRO) would be a signal though imperfect tools to address a growth slowdown

Decoding Euro Area’s inflation: on oil prices, labor costs & profit shares

  • Final release shows Euro Area inflation at 1.7 % in 2018. Core inflation remained subdued at 1.0 % while rising energy prices drove inflation higher
  • Recent developments in oil prices as well as oil futures indicate energy price inflation to decline in 2019 and 2020
  • Wage growth has picked up gradually since 2017 being well-balanced among Euro Area economies and sectors
  • Profit shares are declining, thus, confidence in underlying inflationary pressures to emerge is rising

Quarterly Macroeconomic Outlook: Risks shift to the downside yet fundamentals remain in place

  • The global economic outlook remains constructive, though, with deteriorating expectations.
  • Short-term cyclical risks are titled to the downside in the Euro Area, yet, the fundamental factors underpinning the economic expansion remain in place.
  • Following a strong economic expansion in Austria, a pleasant slowdown is underway. Solid labor market conditions keep supporting consumer sentiment and private consumption. 
  • In CEE there are no signs of an abrupt growth slowdown. Economic growth has remained surprisingly resilient. Nevertheless, growth will slow down gradually over the medium-term.
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Top Meldungen

UNIQA Capital Markets Weekly
      
  • Germany’s growth outlook
  • CEE’s resilience to Euro Area’s growth slowdown

UNIQA Capital Markets Weekly
      
  • Russia’s growth miracle
  • Czech monetary policy normalization loses speed

UNIQA Capital Markets Weekly
      
  • USA: Fed patiently awaits greater clarity
  • Euro Area: No growth rebound occurred in Q4